What we can do after
Wakefield
By John R. Lott Jr., 12/28/2000
ITH
A GUNMAN'S attack that killed seven people at a Wakefield
Internet company on Tuesday, the question is simple: What can
be done to stop similar shootings in the future?
For many the answer is more government regulation. The
creation of gun-free zones, waiting periods, background
checks, and safe storage regulations are just a few of the
laws typically proposed. Yet, Massachusetts already has these
restrictions and many more.
Surely the intentions of these laws are noble. The goal of
preventing concealed handguns or creating gun-free zones is to
protect people. But what might appear to be the most obvious
policy may actually cost lives.
When gun control laws are passed, it is law-abiding
citizens, not would-be criminals, who obey them.
Unfortunately, the police cannot be everywhere, so these laws
risk creating situations in which the good guys cannot defend
themselves from the bad ones.
This point was driven home to me when I received an e-mail
from a friend recently, telling me that he had just dropped
off his kids at a public school and outside the school was a
sign that said ''This is a gun-free zone.'' I couldn't help
think, if I put up a sign on my home that said, ''This home is
a gun-free zone,'' would it make it more attractive or less
attractive to criminals entering my home and attacking myself
or my family?
While horrible crimes like the one in Wakefield get the
attention they deserve, rarely mentioned are the many attacks
that are stopped by citizens who are able to defend
themselves. About two million times a year people use guns
defensively. Few realize that some of the public school
shootings were stopped by citizens with guns.
For example, in the first public shooting spree at a high
school, in Pearl, Miss., in October 1997 that left two dead,
an assistant principal retrieved a gun from his car and
physically immobilized the shooter for more than five minutes
before police arrived.
A school-related shooting in Edinboro, Pa., in spring 1998
that left one dead, was stopped after a bystander pointed a
shotgun at the shooter when he started to reload his gun. The
police did not arrive for another 11 minutes.
But anecdotal stories cannot resolve this debate. A study
at the University of Chicago by a colleague and myself
compiled data on all of the multiple-victim public shootings
that occurred in the United States from 1977 to 1999. Included
were incidents in which at least two people were killed or
injured in a public place; to focus on the type of shooting
seen in Wakefield, we excluded gang wars or shootings that
were the byproduct of another crime, such as robbery. The
United States averaged more than 20 such shootings annually,
with an average of 1.5 people killed and 2.5 wounded in each
one.
So what can stop these attacks? We have examined a range of
different gun laws, such as waiting periods, as well the
frequency and level of punishment. However, while arrest and
conviction rates, prison sentences, and the death penalty
reduce murders generally, they do not consistently deter
public shootings.
The reason is simple: Those who commit these crimes usually
die. They are either killed in the attack or commit suicide.
The normal penalties rarely apply.
To be effective, policies must deal with what motivates
these criminals, which is to kill and injure as many people as
possible. Some appear to do it for the publicity, which is
itself related to the amount of harm they inflict.
The best way to stop these attacks is to enact policies
that can limit the carnage. We found only one policy that
effectively accomplishes this: the passage of right-to-carry
laws.
With Michigan's adoption this month, 32 states now give
adults the right to carry concealed handguns as long as they
do not have a criminal record or a history of significant
mental illness. When states passed such laws during the 23
years we studied, the number of multiple-victim public
shootings declined by a dramatic 67 percent. Deaths and
injuries from these shootings fell on average by 78 percent.
To the extent that attacks still occur in states after
these laws are enacted, they disproportionately occur in areas
in which concealed handguns are forbidden. The people who get
these permits are extremely law-abiding and rarely lose their
permits for any reason. Without letting law-abiding citizens
defend themselves, we risk leaving victims as sitting ducks. |