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Wars
have always had their discernable differences. Some
extremely nuanced, some extremely dramatic. Strategists have
been able to draw on tactics and strategies from previous
wars or engagements and adapt them to modern principles and
equipment. Other wars have demanded radically new or deeply
evolved strategies and tactics to overcome or leverage
operational developments and tactical and strategic shifts.
Had
the Allies not perfected the complex, integrated tactics of
amphibious warfare, first attempted in the modern age at
Gallipoli in World War One, they would have not been
successful moving across North Africa, Italy, Europe, and
the entirety of Asia in defeating the Axis powers in World
War Two.
Carrier warfare was birthed, developed, mastered and
integrated into our national strategic plans in less than
twenty years. It changed the face of naval warfare forever.
In its
simplest form, World War Two was an engagement on two
foreign fronts, a modest defense of the homeland, sustaining
of supply and logistics lines, and propaganda (support)
effort at home. Fought successfully on all five above
fronts, the Allies could be expected to defeat the Axis and
claim victory.
The
Cold War was fought remarkably different. It was fought with
weapons development, brinksmanship, and propaganda,
occupation of territory, political alignment, time, and
economics. In the end, the winning of the Cold War ended up
being a strategy of containment, economic depletion over an
extended period, and the capability to project a ready and
competent response to attack.
It is
critical to outline the broad fronts in the Global War on
Terrorism in order to lay out a competent, long-term
strategy for victory. The fronts that we must engage on, and
win on, in order succeed against terror are as follows…
Iraq
The
war in Iraq must be sustained until either Al Qaeda is
defeated, they abandon the battlefield in Iraq, or the
combination of Iraqi armed forces and Iraqi police forces
can provide stability in the country, from both internal and
external pressures. Al Qaeda cannot be “given” a victory in
this battle. They will not go home if they successfully
force our withdrawal and claim victory in Iraq. They will
simply test our strength and our will in another spot on the
globe, using any uncontrolled areas in Iraq as training
grounds.
Afghanistan
The
effort in Afghanistan must be continued until the Taliban is
no longer militarily or politically viable in Afghanistan.
As with Al Qaeda in Iraq, the Taliban must be denied even
the smallest influence in Afghanistan. The remnants are a
nuisance, and they occasionally enjoy some success on the
battlefield, but we have already experienced life under the
threat of a terror enhancing regime in control in Kabul.
Terrorists would have unrestricted access to training and
support, and economic viability via the opium trade.
Forces
must remain in place which promote long term stability, and
a denial of a resurgence to the Taliban.
Iran
Iran
must be denied the acquisition of nuclear arms at all costs.
We know that the mullahs, via Ahmadinejad are incapable of
rational, international intercourse, and that their
objective is to enhance their status in the world through
the successful development of nuclear arms.
They
have proven themselves exasperatingly irrational over the
past twenty-eight years, and in adding a nuclear capability
to their arsenal, they would only attempt to twist the rest
of the world to their influence through an unspoken, yet
inherent threat to use nuclear weapons in order to achieve
their political objectives.
Iran
is the main backer to Hezbollah, and their myriad of terror
activities, it is a logical step for Iran to let aggressive,
semi-rogue terror groups to do their nuclear bidding for
them. Certainly, Iran would arm their surrogates with
nuclear weapons, and then the world would become a free-fire
zone for nuclear detonations.
Border
protection/immigration enforcement
The US
must aggressively pursue coherent and responsible
immigration and deportation strategies that add to national
security. Borders MUST be controlled to the extent that we
know, for certain, who is in this country and under what
pretenses. We cannot protect ourselves against Al Qaeda
mimickers, if we do not have a rational understanding of who
is in this country and for what purpose. This requires a
serious and immediate action. Failing to plug this gaping
hole in our national defense is a symbol for our collective
malaise toward our own security and will make us vulnerable
into perpetuity should we fail to take appropriate
action…control the borders, enforce current laws, deport
immigration rules violators without exception, aggressively
pursue those here illegally.
Passenger/cargo screening
Continue with aggressive domestic and international
screening of airline passengers. Through diligent and
continued screening we re-enforce the idea that we have not
forgotten 9/11, and that we are aware enough to continue to
provide some measure of security to intra- and international
travel.
We
must aggressively step up our screening of cargo containers
entering into this country. We must have an understanding of
what is in each and every container that comes through our
borders. Certainly this will take some time to fully make
operational, but we must continue on the path and complete
this critical piece in the continuity of our effort to
protect ourselves from further attack.
Engage
moderate Muslims
We
must begin to develop a much improved working relationship
with moderate Muslims. Because of the violent nature of
Islamic terrorists across the globe, it is easy to
understand the reluctance of some moderate Muslims to step
forward and support governmental initiatives in the
anti-terror campaign. We must be able to ensure the physical
security of moderate Muslims who assist us in our goal to
eliminate terrorism.
We
need to work with moderates to gain access to networks that
harbor or fuel insurgents. We must cultivate them for long
term roles as operatives, analysts and interpreters. In
short, we must engage moderate Muslims in our effort to
eliminate terror, and be prepared to take extraordinary
measures to ensure their physical security. The combination
of cooperation and protection will begin to break down the
existing barriers that are keeping moderate Muslims on the
sidelines.
Strengthen domestic surveillance and security initiatives
Key
elements of the Patriot Act must remain in place in order to
ensure that our domestic terror prevention efforts shift
away form the “lucky” and are driven into programmatic
success. By limiting access to banking, billing, internet,
cell phone records, and other predominate terror pathways of
communication and exchange, we hamstring our efforts, and
reduce our chances of programmatic success, and shift back
to a dependence on luck or fortune.
We
will not always be presented with fidgety drivers crossing
over from Canada, or copy-cat cells stupid enough to take
their training videos to Circuit City for conversion to DVD.
At some point the strength of our domestic counter-terror
programs must be unearthing these plots, and we must
diminish our dependence on stupid terrorists and heads-up
store clerks.
Citizen awareness/involvement
We
must actively begin a communication program that highlights
how important citizen involvement has been in protecting us
from further attacks. A concentrated media campaign should
be a base element of our public information dissemination
well out into the future. This campaign, should resemble the
Civil Defense ads of the fifties, and alert our citizens to
the very real threats that are beginning to infiltrate our
neighborhoods, as these “home-grown” Al Qaeda-like cells
begin to gain a toehold on our home turf.
Counter Information operations
We
must deny any terror organization the initiative in
Information Operations. We must recognize that their
objective is to operate inside our information OODA-loop and
to co-opt our media outlets. They will continue to leverage
the format and content of the evening news to gain air time
and to present the images they want to the American public.
We
must be aggressive in countering these messages, and devise
a coherent and innovative strategy to deny them the
unfettered use of our airwaves in this critical element of
the GWOT.
Political agreement to these principles
None
of the above will work, until there is a bi-partisan
agreement to this approach in fighting the GWOT. Each and
every time we waver in our effort, the enemy views our
divisiveness as an offensive opportunity.
Al
Zawahiri is giddy in Iraq at the possibility of the Dems
setting a timeline. They operate more freely when we relax
our surveillance of bank transactions or incoming cell phone
calls. Until both parties can agree to this list as the
fronts of this war, we will have no chance of winning it…no
matter how much money we spend, or how much energy we
expend.
The
GWOT is mature enough that a strategic review of our methods
and objective is called for. And while this list may not
prove to be all inclusive, it is certainly the baseline for
achieving success in the long term.
If we
can’t figure out, or acknowledge on which fronts we are
fighting, we are doomed to be engaged in a long, losing
struggle to terror. If we are able to put together a
comprehensive fight on all of the fronts described above, we
are in for a long, winning struggle against terror.
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